Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.410016 0.473088 0.541688 0.621717 0.712389 0.811798 0.928907
2025-09-21 0.293430 0.377150 0.477235 0.605117 0.763535 0.952648 1.194757
2025-09-28 0.228690 0.318737 0.434224 0.591958 0.800355 1.064649 1.423338
2025-10-05 0.195058 0.290518 0.420150 0.606956 0.866727 1.212225 1.702916
2025-10-12 0.174961 0.275949 0.419979 0.637203 0.952573 1.388993 2.032565
2025-10-19 0.155192 0.258039 0.411456 0.652617 1.016597 1.538478 2.334215
2025-10-26 0.136963 0.239307 0.398518 0.658578 1.065361 1.667831 2.614747
2025-11-02 0.120408 0.220561 0.382684 0.657242 1.101284 1.779034 2.874539
2025-11-09 0.105023 0.201397 0.363507 0.647709 1.122190 1.867324 3.103930
2025-11-16 0.092002 0.184391 0.345621 0.637760 1.140388 1.951173 3.330390
2025-11-23 0.079212 0.165918 0.322867 0.616666 1.137311 1.999437 3.501635
2025-11-30 0.075822 0.164685 0.330431 0.649041 1.227324 2.205309 3.942550
2025-12-07 0.065968 0.149617 0.311287 0.631949 1.230539 2.268139 4.153094
2025-12-14 0.057429 0.136004 0.293331 0.615188 1.232825 2.329559 4.365931
2025-12-21 0.050423 0.124546 0.278129 0.601836 1.239663 2.398568 4.595452
2025-12-28 0.047068 0.120607 0.277580 0.617062 1.301347 2.569341 5.015879
2026-01-04 0.045405 0.120276 0.284438 0.647767 1.395140 2.804475 5.566694
2026-01-11 0.042580 0.116788 0.284107 0.663413 1.460192 2.989998 6.036978
2026-01-18 0.039282 0.111645 0.279522 0.669464 1.506124 3.141873 6.452878
2026-01-25 0.035802 0.105503 0.271934 0.668108 1.536389 3.264963 6.820558
2026-02-01 0.032152 0.098343 0.261128 0.658431 1.548168 3.352180 7.123580
2026-02-08 0.028877 0.091659 0.250641 0.648332 1.557979 3.435646 7.423495
2026-02-15 0.025348 0.083669 0.235974 0.626920 1.541084 3.463473 7.613622